Twelve months ago, I posted a Half Term Review of Danny
Wilson's initial spell in charge. In what was a tense time, with supporter
opinion divided on the new man in charge, United were hitting a bit of a blip
in terms of results and were struggling for form against those clubs around
them. Rolling forward 12 months and some
of the comparisons are interesting and common themes emerge.
Transfers (B-)
United started last season with much of the previous
season's squad intact and that certainly played a key part in the relative
success we enjoyed last season. This season it is very much different. With the
departure of four key players, three of which were wholly necessary to enable
the club to comply with the SMCP (salary cap) rules and another at Her
Majesty's Pleasure, Danny was always going to need to work miracles in the
transfer market. At the same time, the onus was on blooding young players.
Of those coming in, three have settled into first team
action. Tony McMahon was seen as a great signing by many and has taken up the
right back slot vacated by the departing Matt Lowton. And therein lays the
problem. As steady as McMahon has been, he is not Lowton and the absence of
marauding runs forward like Lowton offered, probably tars opinion of the new
man.
Dave Kitson was an unusual signing and one that the manager
seems to have had little influence in. After all, we had five strikers on the
books when he signed his short term deal until January and at the time fans wanted
the diminishing salary pot used elsewhere. Also a friendship with the McCabe
family seemingly had a defining impact on his decision to join. Until his
injury he has looked the pick of our strikers. Whilst the legs have not always
been able, he has still worked incredibly hard, across the front line and
tracking back, offering an outlet ball and someone to hold the ball whilst
others joined in support. His footballing brain has set him apart as a class
above from many of those around him.
John Cofie started the season with plenty of energy, but has
lost his way and his place in the team, displaying a disappointing level of
physical strength on the ball and a naiveté when taking up positions and
running at opposition defences. His lack of senior football clearly playing a
part and whilst all players have to make that step up somewhere, I don't feel
that we have the time and can be patient enough this season.
Shaun Miller has demonstrated a striker's intuition when
making rare forays from the bench and took two magnificently finished goals at Notts
County in the Johnstone's Paint Trophy. His chance must come, sooner rather
than later. Whilst Darryl Westlake has had rare opportunities, playing out of
position in midfield to plug gaps, but may now have a run in his natural right
back position following McMahon's injury at MK.
Overall, Danny has done okay with his signings, but the failure
to address clear deficiencies in wide areas, aside from the short term loan
signing of Paul Gallagher, are my main criticism.
Faith in Youth (C+)
One of the most exciting factors of our pre-season was
seeing the opportunities being given to graduates from our FA Youth Cup final
squad of 18 months ago. Tenacious and attack minded midfielder Elliot
Whitehouse impressed until a broken foot ruled him out of the start of the
season. Whilst he was unlikely to have dislodged Doyle and McDonald from the
first XI, he would have been a natural fit when Doyle suffered a three game
suspension and may have offered impetus off the bench late in games.
Callum McFadzean would add something badly missing out wide
and I fail to see how he could not improve our play in that area. Not least
because he would be a round peg in a round hole! George Long has taken his
opportunity magnificently following Mark Howard's injury, keeping clean sheets
in 5 out of 9 games and pulling off some saves that bely his age and
experience. Yet you get the feeling that this has surprised Wilson who would
have been just as happy bringing in a loan player, only for the youngsters form
to negate the need.
Over the last couple of years much has been made of our
"Development Squad", but many of these players are not given a
chance, even in cup games. There also appears reluctance from other clubs to take
them on loan and when they have it has hardly been a measured success. Some are
now approaching an age where if they are going to forge a career they ought to
be pushing for the matchday squad.
For many you don't sense that is the case and if so it is
questionable why some have deals to the end of the season and beyond. Whilst
they will be on relatively low salaries and take up little of our budget, you
can't help feeling that this money could be better used on a loan winger. Their
movement onwards would also free up opportunities for younger academy players
to join the Under 21 squad.
Style of Play (C)
If you lose quality players and have little funds to replace
there will clearly be a deterioration both in terms of style of play. You can
try to do the same, but when you lack players like Ched Evans, Stephen Quinn
and Lee Williamson, you also lack the creativity and imagination that these
players brought to our play last season and not least their goals.
Whilst United went goal crazy last season, there is a
relative dearth of goals and chances this season. Of the 92 goals last season,
52 were scored by the now departed quartet of Evans, Williams, Lowton and
Quinn. Together these four players set up 35 of them. Take them away and it
places a huge onus on the shoulders of Kevin McDonald as our chief creator and
Ryan Flynn on the wing.
There has been mumbled criticism of McDonald this season,
his influence not as noticeable as last season. This is down to a number of
factors including the deterioration in quality and movement around him and the
tighter marking he now receives as the single focal point of our team.
Tactics and
Substitutions (C)
Having already touched upon Danny Wilson's reluctance to
play youth, what makes it all the more frustrating is his insistence in playing
square pegs in round holes to plug the gaps. This has seen Marcus Williams deployed
in a left wing position, Darryl Westlake played in central midfield and David McAllister
played wide. Whilst not wanting to decry their effort, which cannot be faulted,
they are not natural fits and the team play suffers as a result.
A major frustration last season was the use of substitutions
late on in games and our tendency to sit back on leads. I described it as thus;
"At times they
have removed the impetus we had when taking the lead, probably causing us to
sit deeper, invite teams on and anxiety spreads from stands to pitch."
Sadly we are seeing it again this season and when the
margins are so tight it makes it all the more annoying. Whilst defensively we
appear more solid this season it only takes one lapse in the final seconds for
3 points to become 1 and 1 to become 0. The focus on strengthening the backline
has left fans feeling that we have set up in a much more negative manner this
season. I suspect there is an element of being more defensively minded,
combined with the lack of creativity that we had last season.
The stats back this up. Relatively shot shy at home and the
least attacking side away from home, it is our defensive stability and
fortitude that leaves us where we are.
|
Home
|
Divisional Rank
|
Away
|
Divisional Rank
|
Overall
|
Divisional Rank
|
Ave. Shots For
|
11.6
|
9
|
7.1
|
24
|
9.2
|
17
|
Ave. Shots Against
|
9.4
|
11
|
8.3
|
2
|
8.8
|
3
|
|
Defence
|
Attack
|
Overall League
Ranking
|
1
|
17
|
* Figures taken from PA data as published on BBC Sport and kindly
compiled by Ron of the Swindon Town site The Washbag
Top 8 clashes (C+)
Last year our record against the teams around us was patchy
and poor. This season, in what many agree is a weaker division; it is much
harder to judge. Of those in the Top 8 United have faced just four;
disappointing home draws with Notts County and Doncaster and away draw and a
defeat at Swindon and MK respectively. Further tests come in the next month or
so, starting with a home game against Stevenage on Saturday. Games against
Tranmere and Crawley follow in December. Where United find themselves
mid-December could well set the standard for what we can expect this season.
The one positive is that only one team has gained on us from these games so
far.
Dealing with the
media (B+)
I have only really disagreed with Danny once this season. On
the whole his dealings with the media have demonstrated a level of pragmatism
and an acknowledgment of the grim reality of managing a club with financial
issues to address.
That pragmatism, although not widely shared amongst the fan
base, sees Wilson taking the positives from a grim 1-0 win, i.e. it is a win,
rather than being bogged down in public debate over what could be improved. We
all know money is not available to fix some of the frustrating things we have
seen on the pitch this season; it will require continued hard work on the
training ground.
My disagreement came in the wake of a particularly sterile
0-0 home draw with Doncaster. Having watched United pump long diagonal balls on
to the heads of defensive giants Jones and McCombe all evening, I failed to see
how he could say that was our best tactic, given we rarely tried to take the
ball wide past their full back and hit a low cross from a more difficult
position for the defenders to deal with. We had just played into an average
side's hands for 90 minutes.
Overall (B-)
I have said it on twitter a few times in recent weeks, but
United really remind me of Charlton Athletic last season. Didn't overly impress
when I saw them, but efficiently did the job. There was little between the two
sides at Bramall Lane, but a couple of defensive lapses cost us. Away, we
probably deserved a draw and should have had one but for a goal ruled out for
offside. What Charlton did to us and others last season, we are doing to teams
in this division. If anything we lack the ruthlessness up front that Charlton
displayed.
It is true we have dropped points particularly at home, but
our away record more than compensates and all this without ever feeling like we
have hit top gear. This could be United's season; automatic promotion is in our
own hands. Playing the way we are few teams will beat us, the important factor
will be converting tight games into victories. Teams miss out on promotion and
some are relegated, by drawing too many games. Throughout Huddersfield’s long “unbeaten
run” they were drawing lots of games; in the end it cost them.
It is a fine line we are treading. As the match at MK showed
on Saturday, you can be seconds away from a good away draw and one mistake, be
it from an official or player, can cost you. There is an argument that says one
point from Swindon and MK away might have been three with a more positive game
plan.
Having said all that, we have 32 points after 17 games and
sit 2nd; 3 points and 3 places better off than we were at the same
stage last season. 32 points last season would have placed us 4th,
still a point behind Wednesday in 3rd. These facts lend credence to the
argument that the division is weaker this season. Sadly, so are the Blades.
Last November, I suggested the following:
"The drop in
standard from the Championship has been notable and it is only our own failings
that have stopped us achieving a higher position. There is still plenty for
Wilson to work on and where we end up this season will largely depend on what
he has to work with in terms of a squad come the end of January and an ability
to wheel and deal in the loan market to provide adequate cover when required.
Wilson's time at
Swindon turned sour when some of his better players were sold on. He needs to
ensure the same doesn't happen at Bramall Lane"
I think the same applies this time. We are reportedly at 60%
of turnover in terms of wages, against a limit of 65%. The board are saying
that, although there is little we can do now, there may well be movement in
January. There needs to be movement for United to progress, however that
movement shouldn’t mean losing our best young players.
I fully back Wilson to deliver promotion this season. I have
seen nothing so far to suggest we cannot achieve it, but we need to do more to
ensure that we tip the scales slightly more in our favour. Fortune favours the
brave and so far we have been more than a little timid.