Any Blades fans would have taken a 90
point return at the start of the season, it has only failed to deliver
promotion once before. Sadly, someone had to join Sunderland in this depressing,
but exclusive club at some point.
I know the obvious answer to why 90
points wasn’t enough is that Wednesday got 93 points and finished second, but
it is worth looking at a remarkable season for Sheffield football and five
factors that I think led to late failure of the Blades’ automatic push and
ultimately Wednesday’s success.
Some people may disagree. If you do,
why not add your thoughts in the comments below....
A crazy 45 minutes on a Saturday
afternoon in March
United have
scored 92 goals this season, a phenomenal scoring record. Much is made of Ched
Evans' contribution but with 13 goals for Lee Williamson, 9 goals from Richard
Cresswell, defenders contributing a further 9 it shows that goals have been
delivered from across the team. This willingness to get at the opposition,
whilst exciting to watch, has left United open at the back at times. Whilst for
much of the season the back four has been impressively solid, the concession of
a goal has often led to edgy and nervous performances of which there had been
no sign up until the goal.
With a
relatively inexperienced and not too vocal defence, in front of a keeper who
struggles to command his area, mistakes were always likely and have at times
proved costly. It would be easy to point to the home match against Wednesday, the home game against Exeter - where United came from 2 down to lead 3-2 and then 4-3 with five minutes to go, before eventually drawing 4-4. However, the events of Saturday 3rd March against Oldham
Athletic, in particular those events between 4pm and 5pm, are a key reason as
to why United finished 3rd.
Going into
the match United were in 2nd place, 5 points clear of Wednesday with
a game in hand and 45 minutes in all looked rosy. 2-0 up at half time and
relatively comfortable, United had managed to cope with disruption to a back
four that was starting to settle into being a compact unit. Neil Collins was
missing his first game for personal reasons and so Andy Taylor made a return
from long term injury at left back, as usual incumbent Lecsinel Jean-Francois
shuffled into the middle. Then, late in the half, Jean-Francois was stretchered
off after a collision and Johnny Ertl came on at centre back.
The second
half opened nervously, although United continued to create openings. Then a
crazy five minutes found United down to 10 men and pegged back to 2-2. An
Oldham corner led to Cresswell putting through his own net. As Lowton took the
ball back for the kick off, the antagonistic Chris Taylor tried to hurry him
along and a confrontation led to yellow cards for both players. Shortly
afterwards Lowton lunged for a loose ball on the edge of the Oldham penalty
area and picked up another yellow, which was followed by the red. Oldham
equalised within a couple of minutes and then with the game heading to a draw,
two minutes into added on time, Harry Maguire brought down Reuben Reid in the
box. A red card was issued and Kuqi dispatched the penalty for a 3-2 win for
the Latics.
The following
Tuesday at Walsall United showed they had little problem scoring, but a
makeshift defence - now without any of the first choice back four and
containing two loanee debutants – was troubled. Twice United came from behind,
before succumbing 3-2 to a team that only escaped relegation late in the
season. Although United still had a game in hand, the gap was down to one point
and the pressure was on.
The sacking of Gary Megson
Oh how we
laughed as the news of Megson's sacking filtered out in the aftermath of the
Blades' derby day defeat at Hillsborough. Mouthpiece of a Wednesday PR machine
that, like those spam emails you receive, was focused on claims of size rather
than actual performance; Megson epitomised all that United fans disliked about
the club across the city. The fact his departure came on the back of beating
the Blades seemed all the more laughable to many outside of the city, but the
fact remained that the latter part of his tenure was strained and his public
bleatings and inability to recognise his failings were increasingly resembling
the rambling of his arch-nemesis Neil Warnock.
As Wednesday
fans called the local radio stations in shock and disappointment, Unitedites revelled
in their torment. Then Dave Jones emerged as the favourite for the Hillsborough
hot-seat and feelings changed, both of Wednesday fans, quick to forget their
upset and anger, and of Blades fans recognising the relative quality of Megson’s
replacement. In Jones, Wednesday were appointing a well-respected manager, one I
would have had no problem being appointed at Bramall Lane in the right
circumstances. His first few games saw tweaks to the way Wednesday played and
a successful start with the apparent impetus that a new manager brings. What
could never be envisaged was the length of run that his team went on.
From the
victory over Scunthorpe, which coincided with the announcement of Megson's
sacking United's record was P15 W8 D4 L3, a reasonable return of just under two
points per game. Two of those defeats coming in the aforementioned games
against Oldham and Walsall.
Since Jones
was appointed Wednesday have P12 W10 D2 L0; a phenomenal record that no team
has matched in League One all season. United have been good, although form has
slipped in the final push, Wednesday's record will rarely be repeated. The team
may be largely made by Megson, but I struggle to believe that he would have
dragged this level of performance out of them, even on the back of a derby
victory.
I am not
suggesting that United should have followed Wednesday’s lead. I would never
have envisaged calling for Danny Wilson’s head at any point this season, even
when we have wobbled. I won’t be doing it if we miss out in the play-offs over
the next couple of weeks. But Mandaric recognised that things were not quite
what they needed to be at Hillsborough and he made a massive call. I don’t
think he ever anticipated how successful it would be.
Use of the loan market
Wednesday
used the loan market well; out of a necessity to fill gaps in the starting
eleven, rather than strengthening the squad. The goals and supply line provided
by first Ben Marshall and then Michail Antonio and Keith Treacy have been a key
factor in Wednesday, both maintaining a Top 6 place up to the turn of the year
and propelling their subsequent push for promotion. The further addition of
Nile Ranger, whilst a wildcard in more ways than one, gave Wednesday further
top level experience amongst League 1 specialists Lowe, O'Grady and Madine.
With United
maintaining a position in the Top 3 for most of the season, there has been
little need to pep up the team with loans. You would question the need to bring
players in if all they are going to do is sit on the bench. Very few clubs and
players will agree to such a move if that was likely to be the case anyway.
Where United failed, was to adequately replace midfield lynchpin Kevin
McDonald when injury kept him out for 7 games from the Hillsborough derby
match in February.
United won just two of those games and picked up 8 points, as the uncertainty over the length of McDonald’s absence passed from one week to the next. Lee Williamson failed to adequately fill his boots and we don’t know if Danny Wilson’s reticence in the loan market was due to financial restrictions, lack of suitable candidates or an unerring belief in the players he had. I suspect that the reality is a combination of the first two factors.
United won just two of those games and picked up 8 points, as the uncertainty over the length of McDonald’s absence passed from one week to the next. Lee Williamson failed to adequately fill his boots and we don’t know if Danny Wilson’s reticence in the loan market was due to financial restrictions, lack of suitable candidates or an unerring belief in the players he had. I suspect that the reality is a combination of the first two factors.
Many point to
the failure to replace Ched Evans, yet it can be argued that United made
contingency plans there. The much derided Chris Porter had started the season
in the first eleven and contributed to United's strong start. Also within the
squad, Danny Wilson could call upon the experience, but limited fitness, of
James Beattie. For further back up Wilson signed the flawed, but talented, Will
Hoskins on loan from Brighton and coming off the bench to score on debut was
quite an introduction. He also borrowed young Bolton and Scotland U-21 forward
Michael O'Halloran, although there appears to be confusion about where is his
best position down the middle or out wide. Either way, he is a player who will
need a lot of coaching if he is ever to make it in the professional game.
Some have
suggested United needed better cover and maybe if we hadn’t signed Beattie to
largely gain fitness and warm the bench, then that might have given us more
room for financial manoeuvre. The over-riding feeling remains that the signing
of Beattie was a board signing to boost the fans and not a Wilson signing. Whatever
it was, history will show that it didn’t pay off. However, at the time, this
should have been adequate cover.
The jailing of Ched Evans
My views on
the Ched Evans situation are published here. What is clear though is that it isn't purely
the on pitch absence of Evans that led to United’s downturn in form over the last three
league games. Accusations of United being a one man team were made all season;
ignoring the goals that came from elsewhere and the strong start to the season
made in the absence of the injured Evans.
As much as
his on-field threat was sorely missed, it was the impact on the team spirit that stood out.
The performance at MK, just 24 hours after Evans was sent down, was clearly
affected by the court's decision. Let's not forget the players had seen a
friend and teammate sent to prison, some may well support his case. Mentally
detaching yourself from this would be hard, especially so close to a game.
I've read
comments which have said that Danny Wilson should have been on top of this, that
he should have got the players prepared and motivated. I am not sure what part
of the managerial handbook best advises you on dealing with such a situation. I
certainly find it hard to blame the manager.
The other
reason United felt the absence of Evans more strongly was a catalogue of events
that led to all good contingency plans going to waste. United’s other key striker Richard
Cresswell, so often the selfless and tireless runner creating space and
opportunity for others, was injured and has then played on with three injuries.
Will Hoskins, having had limited run-outs before suffering a virus, then lasted a half at MK Dons until it was subsequently discovered that he needed a
hernia operation and that was the end of his season.
When you
consider that left United’s hopes pinned on players who Wilson seemed reluctant
to give game time to, even when adequate opportunity presented itself during
the season, it didn’t bode well. This meant that Beattie, O’Halloran and Porter
lacked the match sharpness to take the opportunities that presented themselves
at MK, at home to Stevenage and at Exeter. Beattie’s subsequent, reckless red card at
Exeter leaving a further hole in the Blades attacking options for the play
offs.
Form against the Top 6
Won
|
Draw
|
Lost
|
Pts
|
GD
|
|
Charlton
|
6
|
2
|
2
|
20
|
+7
|
Stevenage
|
5
|
2
|
3
|
17
|
+5
|
Huddersfield
|
3
|
4
|
3
|
13
|
0
|
Wednesday
|
3
|
4
|
3
|
13
|
-1
|
MK Dons
|
2
|
4
|
4
|
10
|
-4
|
United
|
2
|
2
|
6
|
8
|
-7
|
To truly succeed
in this division you have to take points off those strong sides around you.
United’s goal haul and points haul largely claim from teams who were not
challenging for promotion; although 15 points were taken from a possible 18
against Brentford, Carlisle and Notts County who were challenging Stevenage for
the final play off place.
If you
consider the two points dropped in the final ten minutes against Wednesday at
Bramall Lane, that three point swing could be viewed as vital. But defensive
mistakes gifted Charlton two goals in an otherwise tight game at Bramall Lane,
two deflected goals gave Stevenage a lead before United came back for a draw. Despite
the lack of points very few of the top six teams comprehensively out-played
United. In fact, the best side seen at Bramall Lane this season was probably MK
Dons, who provided one of United’s two victories.
However,
complaints of bad luck cannot mask the fact that in head to head games against
the top 6 United were by far the worst performing team. A goal difference of -7
for such a high scoring team, highlighting a difficulty in breaking down their
near rivals’ defences and a difficulty in containing the better forward lines
and attacking midfielders. Whether bad luck on the day or tactical inadequacies,
these matches have proved costly.
This leaves United in the Play-Offs, facing a Stevenage side that have taken four points off the Blades this season and have the second best record against fellow top 6 sides. It doesn’t bode well, but then the play offs more often than not don’t reflect the results during the season. Sadly for United, they cannot be viewed as being in the best of form either, often another factor used to assess play off potential. Now is the time when Danny Wilson can really earn his salary, in challenging circumstances. Let’s hope he has more luck than he did at Swindon.
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